The post September 11th world has shown the U.S. that it is a
country with many enemies and enemies who are much more capable
than perhaps previously believed. This threat is magnified by the
fact that many of our adversaries are not sovereign nations that
can be dealt with diplomatically or even with open force. Security
for our nation against terrorist tactics can be achieved with
proper tools and staying one step ahead of our enemies. Enemies
whose design is to cripple the American economy, lower moral, and
otherwise terrorize and destroy her populace. Enemies whose goals
might be efficiently met with a nuclear attack against America.
Since the wide spread availability of nuclear weapons would
essentially give anyone the potential to kill on a mass scale,
halting the spread of nuclear weapons is the greatest priority for
This project is intended to be a means to further the aims of
nonproliferation. The project's objectives are to:
1. predict the most likely pathway an organization will take to
acquire a nuclear weapon, 2. provide a tool to analyze the effect
different evidence about an organization and its activities will
have on our understanding of their paths, and 3. ascertain the
seriousness of the threat any particular organization poses.
- G.R. Hundley, W.S. Charlton, and K. Childress,
"Determining Acquisition Pathways for a Radiological Dispersal Device,"
Proceedings of the 51st Annual Meeting for the Institute of Nuclear Materials Management, Baltimore, Maryland, July 11-15, 2010. See Document
- W.S. Charlton and D.G. Ford,
"Assessment Tool for Nuclear Weapon Acquisition Pathways,"
Annual Meeting of the Institute for Nuclear Materials Management, July 8-12, 2007, Tucson, AZ. See Document
One portion of the Visual tool used in the Monte Carlo Network approach to SNM Acquisition.